Better thinking through technology

FBS, Week 7, 2016



FTR, I'm trying to get back to what was working well a couple years ago. I think we can safely say the NFL-style QB model is an abject failure in FBS play.

This is almost entirely based on the automated ML model. Again, what was working well a few years ago. We'll see how it does. It went 3-0-1 on Friday night, so it's likely due for some regression. Also, this is a big slate of games, which also invites regression.

Ohio -7 -105* vs Eastern Michigan
Toledo -31 -105* vs Bowling Green
Boise State -28 -105* vs Colorado State

Western Michigan -14 +101* vs Akron
Arkansas State -6 -102* vs South Alabama
Arizona U +10 +102* vs USC
San Jose State -3 +105* vs Nevada

NC State +17½ +113* vs Clemson
Tulsa +21 +107* vs Houston U

Vanderbilt +14 -105* vs Georgia

Syracuse +20½ -105* vs Virginia Tech

Connecticut +21 -105* vs South Florida
Missouri +13 -105* vs Florida
Oregon State +7 -109* vs Utah

Kansas State +13 +108* vs Oklahoma

Baylor -34½ +107* vs Kansas U

Iowa -13 +103* vs Purdue
Alabama -14 +107* vs Tennessee U

Arizona State +10 +102* vs Colorado

Northern Illinois +108* vs Central Michigan

Wake Forest +22 -109* vs Florida State

Southern Mississippi +24½ -101* vs LSU

Massachusetts +14½ -105* vs Louisiana Tech

Buffalo U +10½ -108* vs Ball State
Georgia State +17½ -109* vs Troy

Arizona State +11 -105* vs Colorado

Georgia Southern +10½ -102* vs Georgia Tech

Rutgers +175* vs Illinois
Baylor -34½ -105* vs Kansas U

Temple +165* vs Central Florida
Pittsburgh U -4 -105* vs Virginia
Wisconsin +10½ -102* vs Ohio State

Western Kentucky +125* vs Middle Tennessee State
Texas State +7 +100* vs UL Monroe

Texas Tech +103* vs West Virginia
Rice +160* vs Texas San Antonio